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Global Inflation & Fed Policy

39 posts

Fed decisions, global CPI and liquidity trends moving EM FX.

fed deeply split over duration

Is ‘Higher for Longer’ Fracturing the Fed? Its Most Divided Meeting in 30 Years

The Federal Reserve just recorded its most fractured vote in three decades. Four officials dissented—and they couldn’t even agree on which direction rates should go.
boc tightrope inflation rates

Bank of Canada’s High-Stakes Balancing Act: Boon or Beware for Loonie Traders?

The Bank of Canada’s policy paralysis leaves the loonie trapped between support and stagnation—why traders are now watching everything except the BoC.
goolsbee signals multiple 2026 cuts

Fed’s Goolsbee Defies Haste, Hints at Several 2026 Rate Cuts

Fed’s Goolsbee hints at multiple 2026 rate cuts while markets price only one—this gap between rhetoric and reality could reshape your dollar positions.
inflation tariffs data distrust

U.S. Inflation, Tariffs, and Distorted Data: Can the Fed Trust the Numbers?

The Fed set policy while two months of inflation data vanished into a government shutdown. How do you steer the economy flying blind?
strong greenback rangebound gains

Why the Dollar Looks Strong—Yet Refuses to Break Out

The dollar’s strength is a mirage—Fed rate cuts, tariff inflation, and ballooning debt will trigger a mid-2026 collapse before recovery.
dollar slips after cpi

Dollar Falters as CPI Seals January Fed Pause

December’s cooler CPI just demolished the dollar and flipped rate cut bets two months earlier. Fed independence under siege changes everything for your portfolio.
fed backlash weakens dollar

Backlash Against Fed Hits Dollar, Drags U.S. Bonds, Stocks

Markets defy Fed’s cautious rate outlook as stocks surge—but credit spreads near historic lows suggest investors are ignoring a critical warning.
2026 u s stock crash

Could 2026 Spark a Brutal Collapse in the US Stock Market?

Marc Chaikin predicts a 65% chance of brutal losses by fall 2026 as AI valuations crack and historic volatility signals a market few are prepared for.
supreme court ieepa tariffs

Supreme Court IEEPA Tariff Showdown: Will Gold Surge—or Shrug?

Supreme Court weighs IEEPA tariff authority as trillions in trade hang in balance. Gold’s next move depends on constitutional limits—or their absence.
friday s pivotal currency moment

FX Outlook: Friday’s High‑Stakes Crossroads

Friday’s US jobs report could shatter the FX market’s unusual calm—but the dollar’s recent setup suggests the crowd may already be positioned wrong.